登记事项
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Polymarket
- 来源
- Polymarket
- 类别
- 长周期
- 截止
- 2026-12-31(132 天)
- 成交
- $35.3M
- 结果集
- Yes / No
市场概率
3%
03.4%100
本站判断
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0未接入100
分歧
—
模型接入后填列。空栏不以估算值填充。
模型分列
七席俱缺,待模型接入| 席位 | 说明 | 判断 | 权重 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 经济模型 | 空 | — |
| Math | 数学模型 | 空 | — |
| Physics / Statistics | 物理与统计模型 | 空 | — |
| News | 新闻模型 | 空 | — |
| KOL | KOL 模型 | 空 | — |
| LLM Debate | 多模型辩论 | 空 | — |
| JKJ | 非传统实验信号 | 空 | — |
结算规则
以下为来源网站原文,本簿不改写、不翻译、不作解释。
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.