登记事项
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket
- 来源
- Polymarket
- 类别
- 长周期
- 截止
- 2028-11-07（809 天）
- 成交
- $44.5M
- 结果集
- Yes / No
市场概率
0%
00.1%100
本站判断
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0未接入100
分歧
—
模型接入后填列。空栏不以估算值填充。
模型分列
七席俱缺，待模型接入| 席位 | 说明 | 判断 | 权重 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 经济模型 | 空 | — |
| Math | 数学模型 | 空 | — |
| Physics / Statistics | 物理与统计模型 | 空 | — |
| News | 新闻模型 | 空 | — |
| KOL | KOL 模型 | 空 | — |
| LLM Debate | 多模型辩论 | 空 | — |
| JKJ | 非传统实验信号 | 空 | — |
结算规则
以下为来源网站原文，本簿不改写、不翻译、不作解释。
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.